迸出巨量,是喜还是忧
作者:胡立阳
投资人问:
我才投入股市三年多,平常天不怕,地不怕,就怕股市迸出巨量。因为直觉告诉我,一旦大盘出现天量,就表示各路投机分子都来报到了,风险必然相对提高。再加上朋友们都说什么“量大成头”,巨量之后必定暴跌,我于是都在当天立即三十六计走为上策,但往往又少赚了好几只涨停板。究竟量大是喜讯还是警讯?以后再遇上又该如何应对?
上涨中的股市一旦暴出巨量,那紧接着的两三天,涨势通常会放慢脚步,但是你千万不要紧张,更不要杞人忧天地认为“量大成头”,立刻逃之夭夭,因为巨量之后的几天,反而是股市的安全期,股价为什么不可能再上一层楼。
根据长期观察,巨量之后的两三天,股市会骤然来个360度反转而下的机会极小。因此,投资人在来势汹汹的巨量之后如果不想加码,也至少应该保留那些表现突出的个股几天,静观下面几个交易日中是否能出现更强、更大的量,将股价“冲”得更高、更远。
我们在海滩边观看浪潮便会发现,在每一个如排山倒海般的巨浪扑过后,水面总是回归一段短时间的宁静,紧接着,这股大浪在冲到沙滩边后会多少带来一点“回档”力道。在股市中,前进的巨浪就是买盘,而回潮便是卖压。只要了解这种现象,股市在巨量之后,涨势即使稍稍转弱个一两天,其实都是正常现象,不需太过敏感。
至于行情能否继续冲高,便要看有没有前仆后继、一波比一波高的大量来先化解一波又一波的回潮卖压,进而将股价不停地向前推了。
说明:你们看,在2007年7月20日之后连续出现的几天巨量只会把股价越捧越高而不会带来危机。即使是在8月9日出现了48万手的“天量”,下面的两三天仍会是股价的安全期。
说明:2007年9月18日,这只个股在迸出35万手天量之后的几天,股价仍力争上游。因此,“天量”并不可怕,可怕的是在10天之内没有更大的量来支撑。
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