咖啡豆冲上10年新高 等著喝贵咖啡
(纽约2日综合电)咖啡豆期货价格飙上10年新高,分析师认为,受产区气候欠佳和全球供应链混乱影响,咖啡豆市场供不应求局势预期将延续到2023年,价格恐怕会进一步改写新高。
纽约洲际交易所12月交货咖啡合约价格曾在在11月25日升抵每磅2.46美元,创下2011年以来最高价。咖啡豆在2011年曾经升破每磅3美元大关。
盛宝银行商品策略部门负责人韩森(Ole Hansen)受访时指出,过去12个月,一场完美的风暴正带动咖啡豆价格飙升,未来价格走势将取决于这场完美风暴还会持续多久。
韩森解释,酿成这场完美风暴的事件,包括全球最大咖啡豆生产国巴西今年的收成情况不尽理想。由于先前有些地区出现低温与霜害,有些则是处于乾旱,导致从今年底到2022年、甚至是2023年的收成都会受到影响。
另外,越南疫情恶化,衣索比亚也濒临爆发内战边缘,这两个咖啡豆出口大国的局势也一度使得市场不确定性升高。
Marex欧洲咖啡销售部门执行董事柯普斯塔克(Maximillian Copestake)则提到,过去5到8年期间,咖啡供应主要集中在巴西与越南,而这两个国家今年都有状况况发生,加上货运受阻雪上加霜,令咖啡价格应声飞涨。
他解释说,因应价格变化,咖啡产能调整约要两年时间,也意味咖啡价格未来将持续处于高位,波动也会加大。
https://www.sinchew.com.my/20211202/%E5%92%96%E5%95%A1%E8%B1%86%E8%A1%9D%E4%B8%8A10%E5%B9%B4%E6%96%B0%E9%AB%98/
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