俄乌战局致需求暴增 大马棕油库存下降创1年来新低
(吉隆坡11日讯)大马棕油库存再次减少,而且降幅大于预期,库存水平创1年来的新低水平,主因是俄罗斯与乌克兰战局影响葵花籽油的供应,导致市场转向购买更多棕油。
大马棕油局(MPOB)公布,3月棕油库存按月下滑3%,至147万公吨,低于市场预估的149万公吨,同时也创下去年3月以来的新低水平。
3月棕油出口按月增加14.1%,至127万公吨,为去年9月以来的最大单月涨幅,而且比市场预测的120万公吨更多。数据也显示,对欧洲的出货量激增48%、对中国的出货量飙升64%,对印度则增加21%。
雪州一家经纪公司——Pelindung Bestari公司董事巴拉马林甘表示,棕油需求暴增主要是因为市场寻找葵花籽油的替代品所致,俄乌战争导致葵花籽油短缺。
“本地的棕油消耗量也增加,反映经济复苏推高需求,全年需求料将保持高位。”
然而,数据显示,尽管棕油库存下降,但产量也高于预期。3月产量按月增长24%,至141万公吨,高于市场预期的134万公吨,也是1年来最大的单月涨幅。
大马衍生品交易所的原棕油期货在棕油局数据公布前上涨2.3%,至午盘报每公吨6058令吉。巴拉马林甘指出,产量增加可能只是短暂现象,许多炼油厂和种植园主的产量在4月首10天,录得双位数跌幅。
他相信,这将在短期内扶持原棕油价格,未来数周可能上涨至每公吨6100到6200令吉之间。
https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/business/2022/04/11/479677
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