【评论】邦你看市:金融市场动荡 是时候做空股市了?
随著全球形势动荡,全球股市面临多重挑战。地缘政治紧张、通胀压力、美联储政策和外资动向等因素,都对市场产生影响。地缘政治紧张可能导致全球市场波动,通胀压力影响美联储政策的预期也影响市场情绪。
看起来,“Sell in May and Go Away”这句顺口溜已经可以提前派上用场。根据技术图分析,美国道琼斯工业平均指数已跌破了一目云(Ichimoku Cloud)。这意味著该指数可能进入盘整期。而标普500指数和那斯达克指数则正试图突破一目云,因为它们的强弱势指标(RSI)和平均移动乖离指标(MACD)已经跌至负面区域。
马股方面,外资持续抛售,导致下跌压力不断加剧,投资者的焦虑情绪也在增加。即将到来的企业财报旺季也将对市场情绪产生影响。
根据技术图分析,富时综合指数可能正在形成“三顶型态”,市场面临进一步下跌的风险。投资者需要保持警惕,随时调整策略。
尽管股市下跌可能让人感到恐慌,但我们仍然可以在其中找到投资机会。如果美国和大马股指短期内急剧下跌,认沽权证(Put Warrant)可能是一个值得考虑的选择。认沽权证以较低的价格让投资者有操作空间,而其价格波动通常大于指数本身的波动。这意味著认沽权证具有更高的潜在回报。
选择股指认沽权证时,有几个关键标准需要考虑。
隐含波动率必须较低。较高的内在价值和较低的时间价值是更有吸引力的。该认沽权证必须处于或接近资产价格水平(in / near the money),即行权水平或价格接近基础指数的最新成交价。不要选择远离基准指数价格水平太远的权证,因为这样的权证价格不会有太大波动。如果可以,不要购买剩馀期限少于一个月的权证。最后,杠杆必须较高。
以上标准是根据个人的偏好制定的,市场上存在其他关键标准。需要注意,投资必然有风险,认沽权证的风险包括寿命有限,杠杆效应,市场风险,及信用风险。所以请读者买卖自负。
邦你看市 金融领域
https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/business/2024/04/20/646136
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