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今天的AGM 相信大家除了拿到了RM40 Petronas 卡之外,还得到了管理层带给大家的

好消息 - 公司在未来12个月有希望profit ❗️


但是... 会这么顺利吗?

大概看了一下上个季度的报告,发现他们revenue 增加了100% 以上但是profit/loss 却

没什么改善
, Utilization rate 还是这家公司的大问题之一(虽然管理层说70% 可以赚

钱,公司也有RM 17 Billion 左右的合约,但是cost 好像在不断增加?)


另外,在季报里面还可以看到:

  •  公司平均一个季度Finance costs RM 200 Million;
     
  •  现金流从RM 8 Billion (FY 2019 Q4)到现在只剩下RM 860 Million;
     
  •  债务减少了RM 7 Billion 左右;
     
  •   Off-Balance sheet CAPEX 大约有RM 432 Million
     
  •  上次Right Issue + Warrants RCPS-i 的钱几乎用惯了(RM 4 Billion 用剩下不到RM 100 Million,大部分还债了);
     
  •  Term Loans(我们供车一样的loan)大幅减少了,相信未来finance cost 也会被拉低,公司现金流也比较松动;
     
  •  E&C(Engineering & Construction)虽然营业额成长了100% 以上,但是Operating profit 才增加31.80% 左右,成本控制有待改善;
     
  •  Drilling 还是亏损状态,但是AGM 提到会增加到13 架左右,但是可以profit 吗?;
     
  •  管理层表示如果油价维持在USD 60 - USD 65,对于他们是非常好的(我的大红花)。

     
总结:这次总算是给散户一点希望啦,因为这家公司不好听真的是给了很多人住套房

但是profit margin 实在是低,虽然管理层说因为竞争大所以tender 要以更低的margin

去tender,但是对于股东来说,不一定是好事
❗️


便宜tender 你也死,utilization rate 低你也死(还没讲impairment),管理层接下来

会打什么牌呢?我拭目以待。
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