SUPERMX (7106) SUPERMAX QTR 4 RESULT FORECAST (POSSIBLE movement)

PAT 336 million - PAT 558 million (AVG 447 million)

POSSIBLE movement. (IF profits is according to my forcast)

PAT 336 million  TP1 20.00 (b4 result)
AVG 447 million TP2 27.00 (eve of result)
PAT 558 million  TP3 34.00 (after result...timeframe unknown)

 

TP 20.00 at 336 million with FY20 eps 34.38 sen will be trading at PE 58.

TP 27.00 at 447 million with FY20 eps 44.00 sen will be trading at PE 61.

TP 34.00 at 558 million with FY20 eps 52.54 sen will be trading at PE 65.

 

1.80 with profit 30 million (QTR 2)

rise to

4.30 with profit 71 million (QTR 3) 2.38x

rise to
16.00 with expected profit 71 x 3.72 = 264 mil (QTR 4) 3.72x

18.00 with expected profit 71 x 4.18 = 297 mil (QTR 4) 4.18x

20.00 with expected profit 71 x 4.65 = 330 mil (QTR 4) 4.65x

22.00 with expected profit 71 x 5.11 = 363 mil (QTR 4) 5.11x

24.00 with expected profit 71 x 5.11 = 396 mil (QTR 4) 5.58x

26.00 with expected profit 71 x 6.04 = 429 mil (QTR 4) 6.04x

28.00 with expected profit 71 x 6.51 = 462 mil (QTR 4) 6.51x

30.00 with expected profit 71 x 6.97 = 495 mil (QTR 4) 6.97x 

32.00 with expected profit 71 x 7.44 = 528 mil (QTR 4) 7.44x 

34.00 with expected profit 71 x 7.90 = 561 mil (QTR 4) 7.90x 
 

	jan	feb	mar		apr	may	jun
OBM distributor price	90	98	105	97.67	120.00	150	160	143.33
OEM price	20	30	40	40.00	70.00	85	100	85.00
average				68.83				114.17

 

Revenue for QTR 3	447,247.00
cost	351,970.00
PBT	95,277.00
PAT	72,411.00
OBM sales @ 40%	178,898.80
unit sold to OBM centre	1,831.73
OEM /OBM distributor sales@60%	268,348.20
unit sold to OEM	6,708.71
total unit sold for OBM + OEM =	8,540.43
QTR 4 (based on OBM/OEM model)
OBM sales @ 55% @ USD143.33 ASP	673,270.83
OEM sales @ 45% @ USD 85 ASP	326,671.57
total	999,942.40
15% add. Volume	1,149,933.76
cost additional 15% cost	404,765.50
PBT	745,168.26
PAT(25% tax)	558,876.20
eps	0.43
ave unit sold	6,497.54
NEW sales(Based on Average model)	741,801.92
15% add. Volume	853,072.21
cost xadditional 15% cost	404,765.50
PBT	448,306.71
PAT (25% tax)	336,230.03
eps	0.26

 

This is not an advice to buy or sell. It is my own personal opinion for sharing. 

I do not take accountabiitly for any trading occuring from my information.

https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/freetospeak/2020-07-29-story-h1510785885-SUPERMAX_QTR_4_RESULT_FORECAST_POSSIBLE_movement.jsp