逢低吸纳黄金/拿督威拉黄俊豪
全球经济展望愈发难言乐观,加上地缘性政治隐患,市场分析员看好黄金仍可以逢低吸纳。
美国7月份消费者价格指数(CPI)按年上涨8.5%,比6月份的9.1%有所放缓,使美联储加息压力放缓,市场投资情绪高昂,美股强劲反弹,推动亚洲股市一片兴旺。
伦敦分析员指出,通胀略有放缓,将有助于金价反弹至1800美元,如果未来几周风险偏好消退,将会大大支撑金价突破1800美元的动力。
2022年,尽管全球央行大举收紧货币政策,削弱了黄金的吸引力,金价也仅下跌4%。而在大约一年后,若美联储意外转向宽松政策,金价将有望强力反弹。
短期局势分析
美联储会议纪要意外偏鸽后,金价守住1760关口。
先前美国7月零售销售月率创2个月新低,美联储会议纪要“鸽中藏鹰”,十年期美债收益率重登2.9%上方,黄金一度狂泻约23美元,然而美联储的进一步加息预期的压力,推高黄金价格,金价在1750关口有强大支撑。
后市展望
地缘局势持续紧张,避险资产黄金受到提振,国际黄金价格短线急涨,金价上看每盎司1800美元。
黄金反弹力量持续,毕竟黄金是硬货币,即使货币贬值,黄金的价格都不会有太大变动,并且是国际上认可的通用货币,它的抗风险能力大家有目共睹。
中国最近自瑞士黄金进口量创逾5年新高,瑞士联邦海关总署数据显示,由于对中国的黄金出口量激增,瑞士黄金出货量从6月份的84吨上升至7月的186.2吨,按月上涨122%。
其中,对中国的黄金出口增长147%,至80.1吨;对印度的黄金出口增加了一倍多,达到15.8吨;对美国的黄金出口增加10%,至1.4吨;对英国的黄金出口从0.8吨上升到10.7吨。
而瑞士黄金进口量也小幅增长1.7%,至155.9吨。其中从俄罗斯进口黄金为0.3吨。
https://www.enanyang.my/%E5%90%8D%E5%AE%B6%E4%B8%93%E6%A0%8F/%E9%80%A2%E4%BD%8E%E5%90%B8%E7%BA%B3%E9%BB%84%E9%87%91%E6%8B%BF%E7%9D%A3%E5%A8%81%E6%8B%89%E9%BB%84%E4%BF%8A%E8%B1%AA
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