中国疫情打击油价
基于俄乌战争导致供应紧张,随后又因石油最大进口国——中国的需求疲软以及对经济萧条的担忧,油价在2022年大幅波动,但最终仍连续两年上涨。
布伦特原油期货上周五上涨2.45美元或3%,收于每桶85.91美元;美国原油期货则收于每桶80.26美元,上涨1.86美元或2.4%。
全年来看,布伦特原油和美国原油期货,分别录得10%和7%涨幅。
ING分析员伊娃表示:“对于大宗商品市场来说,今年是不平凡的一年,供应风险导致波动加剧和油价上涨。”
但她补充,明年将是充满不确定性的一年,预计波动也很大。
今年的投资者预计将继续采取谨慎态度,警惕加息和潜在的经济衰退。
据一项针对30位经济学家和分析师的最新调查,预测今年布伦特原油平均价格为每桶89.37美元,比11月份调查的普遍预期低约4.6%。
虽然市场预计,2023年中国的石油需求将复苏,但最近当地的病例激增,使石油需求迅速恢复的希望变得渺茫。
据能源服务公司贝克休斯公司最新报告指出,作为未来供应的一个指标,美国石油和天然气钻井平台数量,今年增长了33%。
https://www.enanyang.my/%E8%B4%A2%E7%BB%8F%E6%96%B0%E9%97%BB/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E7%96%AB%E6%83%85%E6%89%93%E5%87%BB%E6%B2%B9%E4%BB%B7
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