亚洲国家头号大敌不是物价 强势美元更可怕
(新加坡1日综合电)通胀恶潮席卷全球,控制物价波动为各国政府首要任务,但星展银行首席经济学家拜格(Taimur Baig)说,对亚洲来说,汇率疲软、强势美元是更严重的问题,比通胀还令人担忧。
CNBC报道,拜格说,他对通胀驱动政策没有太过担心,反倒是汇率疲软、美元流动性枯竭等是更大的问题。他说,如果明年投入的成本上涨,即便是像印度这般自产大量粮食,并出口全世界的国家,粮食供应也有可能在2023年出现问题。
拜格指出,能源危机不仅让冬天更加难熬,也将加剧通胀情势。他说:“目前难以见到欧洲天然气问题能有解决的方法,能源不仅关乎保暖,也攸关明年通胀情势的一大重要因素。”
拜格表示,虽说天然气以欧洲问题最大,但还是会造成全球能源价格波动,“供应方通胀可能在2023年全年都维持在高位,使全球经济蒙尘”。
拜格强调,亚洲国家有以财政政策支持经济的“空间和需要”。他续指,遗憾的是,在货币政策方面没有任何喘息的空间,他们必须透过升息减缓经济成长,使经常帐维持在可延续的基础上。
拜格称,这也是为什么像印度这样的国家,如今虽成为投资人的偏好,但预期2023年仍会面临巨大的逆风。
https://www.sinchew.com.my/20220801/%E4%BA%9E%E6%B4%B2%E5%9C%8B%E5%AE%B6%E9%A0%AD%E8%99%9F%E5%A4%A7%E6%95%B5%E4%B8%8D%E6%98%AF%E7%89%A9%E5%83%B9/
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