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[12Invest] 壹贰讲股 -不做标题党,摆明跟你讲我要谈GENM (4715) 云顶大马 GENTING

MALAYSIA!Image may contain: sky, cloud, outdoor and text

先介绍一下这家Resorts World Catskills (RWC),他其实是Empire
Resorts(NYNY)旗下的公司,有着:
  •  100,000 sqf 赌场场地
  •  322-suite 高级酒店
  •  9-hole golf course
  •  1,600 架slot machine
  •  150 座live tables
用RM 760 Million 左右的价格收购这家公司49% 的股份,是否值得呢?
首先,这家公司我大概看了一下,是在于亏损状态的,尤其是FY 2018,亏损更是高达
USD 138 Millon。
但是,这个亏损并不是一直以来都是那么高的,而是在2018 February RWC 进行营业
后才出现的。
根据Rhb 的报告,一家赌场通常是在2-3年内才会吧EBITDA 转正(也就是说转亏为
盈),RWC 目前才营业了一年半,也难怪出现了亏损。
如果GENM 真的打算收购Empire Resorts后privatize,亏损的carry forward 大概是这样
的:
enlightened Q1 FY2019 - RM 268 Million
enlightened Q4 FY2018 - RM 720 Million
enlightened Q3 FY2018 - RM 400 Million(拿出一次性”亏损”后)
enlightened Q2 FY2018 - RM 396 Million
总数:RM 1,784 Million 


加上Empire Resorts 49% 被收购的亏损(约RM 288 Million),最后的figure 是:
= RM 1,496 Million 

除于公司股票的数量的话,EPS 是25.20 ,股价是RM 3.18,大约算了P/E 是 12.62 ,
这样的价格,会贵吗?

在加上Empire Resorts 未来很有可能转亏为盈,你们觉得怎样呢?

*P/S:RhB 报告里面有提到公司可能和bet 365 online 合作,不知道会不会实现呢?
你们怎么看?记得在下面留言以及分享给你的朋友 



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