基本金属去年表现出色 前路仍充满波折
(纽约1日讯)在2021年经历了供应紧缺、中国经济放缓以及全球能源危机导致的动荡之后,金属前路仍充满波折。
今年铜价创出了纪录高位,因疫情扰乱了供需关系,但随着基本金属价格走高,锡是表现最佳的品种。
尽管通胀加剧,但黄金多头最终还是失望了。此外,随着中国需求减弱,铁矿石价格从每吨200美元上方,一路跌破100美元。
2022年其他主要推动因素已经可见。库存处于危险的低位是贯穿所有金属种类的主题,这种情况明年还会持续,尤其是如果全球经济持续回升。
中国的刺激措施可能给国内钢铁困境提供支撑,而美联储收紧政策以及通胀持续升温将是一个阻力因素。关注能源和气候议程,尤其是铝。
“基本金属今年表现出色,这并不奇怪,因为它们实际上是收复了2020年的失地,”Mine Life Pty创始董事加文温特表示。
“明年应该会看到整体积极需求持续,但随着供应面的复苏,价格将出现更大的波动。”
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