美银:俄油出口若大减 布兰特料升至150美元
(纽约28日电)美国银行估计,如果俄罗斯石油出口大幅减少,布兰特期油价格可能升至每桶150美元。
欧盟委员会提议禁止俄罗斯石油入口,但各成员国暂未达成共识。美银原先估计,布兰特油价今年平均值为104.48美元,明年为100美元。
美银相信,倘若俄罗斯由于受西方国家制裁,其石油出口量大幅减少,布兰特油价可能升至150美元。
美银估计,如果供应链问题导致油价急升30美元,全球原油需求将因此减少每日150万桶,无法恢复至疫情爆发前水平。
美银认为,假设俄罗斯的原油产量保持在每日1000万桶以上水平,以及产油国保持增产,将有助油价维持平稳,则明年全球原油需求可望回升至疫情前水平。
纽油创11周高 布油单周升6%
另一方面,市场揣测,美国民众夏季用油量将保持在过往高峰水平,加上欧盟可能落实禁止俄罗斯石油入口,国际油价持续上升。
纽约期油升0.86%,每桶收报115.07美元,为3月初以来最高;本周累计升约1.5%,连续第五个星期上升。
布兰特期油涨1.73%,收报119.43美元,本周累计升6%。
https://www.sinchew.com.my/20220529/%E7%BE%8E%E9%93%B6%EF%BC%9A%E4%BF%84%E6%B2%B9%E5%87%BA%E5%8F%A3%E8%8B%A5%E5%A4%A7%E5%87%8F-%E5%B8%83%E5%85%B0%E7%89%B9%E6%96%99%E5%8D%87%E8%87%B3150%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%83/
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