全哥股票新手教室169:30-8-22 全哥盲羊补牢先止损,避开7个风险因素!!
30-8-22 今晚止损卖光ETF换回马币 ,只留下VOO 。
根据自己的客观分析做出的投资决策:
1.美中与台湾课题升温,战事一旦触发将严重影响台湾的半导体,进而削弱全球供应链的打击,TSM目前USD 82.85(28-8-22) 可能会跌破50美元,SOXX SOXL 将继续插水。
2.台湾一直受到水源问题影响半导体的制作,因此全球半导体如受到波及,将影响NASDAQ QQQ 相关的科技股下跌。
3.尽管2023年可能会有反弹,但是应该不会太强势,因为美股面临经济停滞(stagnation)和通货膨胀(inflation)同时持续并行的经济现象,在这种情况下,光靠央行的货币政策是解不开难题的,因为更宽松的货币政策将导致物价进一步飙升,而紧缩的货币政策将促使经济更加萧条。
4.中国清零政策,影响中国GDP Q2 的成长下跌为2.6% , 中国房地产暴跌将引发一连串的财务危机。
5.马币换美元来到自2016年的新高4.48 ,这时候换美元有划算。
6.摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)前亞洲區董事長、經濟學家羅奇(Stephen Roach)週一(29日)認為,今年上半年的經濟負增長,可能是會持續到2024年的更嚴重衰退前兆
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/4041618
7.10月份还有一个变盘点,通常是大跌的。
全哥总结:加息周期将持续导致股市继续下挫,短期来看,整个金融环境的投资需谨慎,因为还有下跌空间及不确定因素的风险。
30-8-22
TQQQ 收盘 28.33
TSLA 收盘 277.7
QQQ 收盘 301.02
SPXL 收盘 75.01
SOXL 收盘 14.47
VOO 收盘 366.03
TSM 收盘 82.79
BITCOIN 收盘 19819
http://richbrotherschool.blogspot.com/2022/08/16930-8-22-7.html
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