铝业唱好 钢铁看淡 建材股展望好坏参半
(吉隆坡8日讯)建材股次季盈利表现差强人意,肯纳格研究看好铝业、看淡钢铁与相关行业,维持建材业“加码”评级。
该行预期铝价下半年缓和,然而欧洲天然气高涨,同侪料减产,供应或缺缓阻价格跌势;钢铁因中国清零政策下对疫情严峻的各城实施封控,加上中国面临产业债务危机,料供多于求而使得国内钢铁公司赚幅受压。
铝业代表齐力工业(PMETAL,8869,主板工业产品服务组)次季因平均售价不如肯纳格预期,尽管产能使用从前季的93%提高至97%,不过净利仍低于该行预期。
归功联营公司营收改善,齐力工业截至2022年6月30日第二季净利高涨60.1%至4亿零917万4000令吉,上半年净利也上涨79.97%至8亿3019万令吉。
伦敦金属交易所铝价4月初创高峰,每公吨3849美元,目前游走于2300至2400美元之间。
今年至今,伦敦金属交易所现货铝价平均2919美元,仍然高于2021年的2476美元18%,或者高于疫情前即2019年的1728美元。
主要生产电线槽、电缆梯架、电线篮、电缆托盘的友谊机构(ULICORP,7133,主板工业产品服务组),次季业绩也低于预期,这是因为顺应原料价(冷轧钢卷)下调而调低产品平均价,以保持竞争力。该公司曾以高价锁定库存。
至于安裕资源(ANNJOO,6556,主板工业产品组),则一如该行预期核心净利按年跌75%,主要是钢铁价格下跌。
钢铁产品价格自6月杪开始下跌,主要是管控疫情下的中国清零政策与产业债务危机,钢铁价格的大幅下跌,对钢铁制造商而言将是赚幅的压缩。
分析员说,钢铁制造商一般持有3至6个月的高成本库存(史上新高的成本价),因此预期友谊机构与安裕资源持续面临赚幅受压。
https://www.sinchew.com.my/20220909/%E9%93%9D%E4%B8%9A%E5%94%B1%E5%A5%BD-%E9%92%A2%E9%93%81%E7%9C%8B%E6%B7%A1-%E5%BB%BA%E6%9D%90%E8%82%A1%E5%B1%95%E6%9C%9B%E5%A5%BD%E5%9D%8F%E5%8F%82%E5%8D%8A/
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