美国通胀减速超预期 美联储可放缓加息
(华盛顿11日讯)美国10月通胀降温幅度超过预期,燃起了物价数十年来最快涨势正在减弱的希望,并为美联储官员提供了放慢加息的腾挪空间。
美国劳工部周四发布的数据显示,10月消费者价格指数按年上涨7.7%,低于9月份的8.2%,也创下了年初以来的最小涨幅。
不含食品和能源、公认更好的基础通胀指标核心物价按年上涨6.3%,从9月触及的40年高点回落。
核心消费者价格指数环比上涨0.3%,整体CPI攀升0.4%。两者的按年和环比涨幅都低于经济学家的预期中值。
“我认为这份报告的基本要素实际上是好的,它们是具有支持性的,有一些证据表明我们正在从峰值通胀率下降,”德意志银行首席美国经济学家马修·卢泽蒂对彭博电视说,“在我看来一个巨大的问号在,我们会走到什么地步。”
虽然核心物价减速是个好消息,但通胀率仍然高得无法让美联储安心。
美联储关注按月走势
主席鲍威尔本月曾表示,需要看到持续的按月通胀走弱。他当时还说,利率峰值可能会高于决策层此前设想的水平。
医疗服务和二手车分类指标的下跌限制了核心指数。住房成本上升对整体CPI涨幅的贡献超过了一半。
两位美联储官员在强调抗通胀决心的同时支持放缓升息速度。
达拉斯联储行长洛里洛根周四在一次会议上表示,“虽然我认为放慢加息步伐可能很快会成为合适之举,以便我们可以更好地评估金融和经济状况的变化,但步子放慢并不代表政策转为宽松”。
费城联邦储备银行行长帕特里克·哈克表示,“鉴于我们已经采取的紧缩措施的累积效果,预计随着利率接近足够限制性水平,未来几个月我们将放慢加息步伐。但我想明确的一点是,加息50个基点仍然意义重大。”
接受彭博调查的经济学家预期中值为,CPI按月上涨0.6%,核心物价按月上升0.5%。
美联储官员将在12月中旬为期两天的政策会议前,看到下一份CPI和就业报告。
https://www.enanyang.my/%E5%9B%BD%E9%99%85%E8%B4%A2%E7%BB%8F/%E7%BE%8E%E5%9B%BD%E9%80%9A%E8%83%80%E5%87%8F%E9%80%9F%E8%B6%85%E9%A2%84%E6%9C%9F-%E7%BE%8E%E8%81%94%E5%82%A8%E5%8F%AF%E6%94%BE%E7%BC%93%E5%8A%A0%E6%81%AF
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