美国通胀减速超预期 美联储可放缓加息
(华盛顿11日讯)美国10月通胀降温幅度超过预期,燃起了物价数十年来最快涨势正在减弱的希望,并为美联储官员提供了放慢加息的腾挪空间。
美国劳工部周四发布的数据显示,10月消费者价格指数按年上涨7.7%,低于9月份的8.2%,也创下了年初以来的最小涨幅。
不含食品和能源、公认更好的基础通胀指标核心物价按年上涨6.3%,从9月触及的40年高点回落。
核心消费者价格指数环比上涨0.3%,整体CPI攀升0.4%。两者的按年和环比涨幅都低于经济学家的预期中值。
“我认为这份报告的基本要素实际上是好的,它们是具有支持性的,有一些证据表明我们正在从峰值通胀率下降,”德意志银行首席美国经济学家马修·卢泽蒂对彭博电视说,“在我看来一个巨大的问号在,我们会走到什么地步。”
虽然核心物价减速是个好消息,但通胀率仍然高得无法让美联储安心。
美联储关注按月走势
主席鲍威尔本月曾表示,需要看到持续的按月通胀走弱。他当时还说,利率峰值可能会高于决策层此前设想的水平。
医疗服务和二手车分类指标的下跌限制了核心指数。住房成本上升对整体CPI涨幅的贡献超过了一半。
两位美联储官员在强调抗通胀决心的同时支持放缓升息速度。
达拉斯联储行长洛里洛根周四在一次会议上表示,“虽然我认为放慢加息步伐可能很快会成为合适之举,以便我们可以更好地评估金融和经济状况的变化,但步子放慢并不代表政策转为宽松”。
费城联邦储备银行行长帕特里克·哈克表示,“鉴于我们已经采取的紧缩措施的累积效果,预计随着利率接近足够限制性水平,未来几个月我们将放慢加息步伐。但我想明确的一点是,加息50个基点仍然意义重大。”
接受彭博调查的经济学家预期中值为,CPI按月上涨0.6%,核心物价按月上升0.5%。
美联储官员将在12月中旬为期两天的政策会议前,看到下一份CPI和就业报告。
https://www.enanyang.my/%E5%9B%BD%E9%99%85%E8%B4%A2%E7%BB%8F/%E7%BE%8E%E5%9B%BD%E9%80%9A%E8%83%80%E5%87%8F%E9%80%9F%E8%B6%85%E9%A2%84%E6%9C%9F-%E7%BE%8E%E8%81%94%E5%82%A8%E5%8F%AF%E6%94%BE%E7%BC%93%E5%8A%A0%E6%81%AF
Singapore Investment
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
The Art of Being Patient2 days ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Portfolio Summary for June 20255 days ago
-
-
-
Portfolio (June 30, 2025)5 days ago
-
Portfolio (June 30, 2025)5 days ago
-
-
-
-
-
Month of June 20256 days ago
-
June 2025 Updates6 days ago
-
-
-
-
Batisht crazy!1 week ago
-
-
Will SORA crash to 1 per cent?1 week ago
-
-
Hello world!1 week ago
-
Cut back some exposure1 week ago
-
-
-
Buying an overseas home for retirement2 weeks ago
-
-
8 tips for house moving2 weeks ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
May 2025 Portfolio5 weeks ago
-
-
-
Thakral - Gem life deal finally coming?5 weeks ago
-
-
-
-
-
Clarity1 month ago
-
The Trump Tariffs1 month ago
-
Selling HRnet and Fiverr1 month ago
-
-
-
-
Ignore the noise and be calm2 months ago
-
-
-
-
FAQ on Quantitative Investing Part 22 months ago
-
-
-
-
Crossing the 300k Mark [in a volatile period]2 months ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ETF vs Mutual Fund: Which is Better?5 months ago
-
-
-
-
-
Arigato Everyone! A Decade of Blogging!6 months ago
-
Top 10 Highlights of 20246 months ago
-
-
-
Union Square Residences8 months ago
-
-
-
STI ETF9 months ago
-
-
-
Unibet Casino Bonus Codes 202410 months ago
-
-
-
-
The Stigma against Early Retirement (FIRE)11 months ago
-
Monthly IBKR Update – June 202411 months ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Feb 2024 Expenditure1 year ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Monthly Summary of November 20231 year ago
-
Migration of website1 year ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
Hello SP Group, I'm Back!2 years ago
-
-
-
A New Light2 years ago
-
-
-
-
-
2022 Thoughts, Hello 2023!2 years ago
-
Series of Defaults for Maple Finance2 years ago
-
Takeaways from “Sea Change”2 years ago
-
Greed is Coming Back2 years ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
What is Overemployment3 years ago
-
Terra Hill Condo (former Flynn Park)3 years ago
-
Alibaba VS Tencent: The Battle Royale3 years ago
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-